MASSIE IN TROUBLE AMONG REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS AS HE SEEKS REELECTION

For Immediate Release:

Thursday June 26th, 2025

Doug Kaplan, (407)-242-1870

doug@kaplanstrategies.com

 

 

Poll Results Kentucky04 GOP with write up

 

Kissimmee, Florida – With just under a year until the 2026 Republican Primary, incumbent Congressman Thomas Massie appears to be in for a rough road ahead. When asked if voters plan to vote to reelect Massie regardless of who runs against him, only 19% indicate support for Massie while 47% indicate support for a challenger.
 

Introducing the hypothetical of a Trump endorsement of a challenger, Massie’s support falls to 14% and those supporting a challenger rises to 59%.

 

As of the time the poll was in the field, there is one candidate, Registered Nurse Nicole Lee Ethington, filed to challenge Massie in the Republican primary. In a head-to-head poll, Massie trails Ethington 31%-19% with a majority of voters undecided.
 

Massie’s 19% support matches the pre-Trump endorsement ballot test against an unnamed opponent. With Massie continuing to hit that 19% number, Ethington is likely the only one with significant room to grow in support, as her share of the vote is below the total number of voters that say they will at least “probably”

vote for a challenger to Massie.

 

The Republican primary electorate gives Massie a 23% favorable rating while 62% rate him as unfavorable. At the same time, President Trump has an 89% favorable rating and only 9% unfavorable. Further, 70% of primary voters consider themselves to be “MAGA Republicans.

 

Across the board, voters are less likely to vote for Massie when they hear about his record. 69% are less likely to vote for Massie due to opposition to the “Take it Down Act” and 72% due to

opposition to Trump tax cuts and the budget. After the strikes on Iranian Nuclear Facilities, only 6% of voters believe that the United States

should stay out of the Iran-Israel Conflict. 52% support targeted action against the Iran nuclear program and 31% support active support in the conflict to pursue regime change.

 

On immigration, 87% believe that illegal immigration poses a threat to both the economy and to national security. 69% support deporting all illegal immigrants and 85% believe that constitutional rights are not expended to non-citizens who happen to be in the United States.

 

Specifically, voters approve of the deportation of Kilmar Abrego Garcia to Ecuador by a 85%-7% margin.

 

KENTUCKY 4TH CONGRESSIONAL 6/25/2025 1The poll was conducted by Kaplan Strategies, a reputable nonpartisan research firm, using an online panel of cell phone users using web and text responses. This poll of 368 registered, likely Republican Primary voters in Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District was conducted June 23rd through the 24th, 2025 and has a margin of error of ±5.1%. The results were weighted and funded by Kaplan Strategies, a leading polling and strategic consulting firm known for delivering actionable intelligence to political campaigns, businesses, and organizations.

 

About Kaplan Strategies:

Kaplan Strategies is a leading polling and strategic consulting firm specializing in delivering actionable

intelligence and comprehensive guidance to political campaigns, businesses, and organizations. With a team of seasoned professionals and cutting-edge methodologies, Kaplan Strategies empowers its clients to make informed decisions and achieve success in today’s dynamic political environment.